tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2499771266402854669.post6211530834291909711..comments2024-02-08T01:44:24.272-05:00Comments on ModeratePoli: Short: Beating up Nate SilverModeratePolihttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01721945380057992971noreply@blogger.comBlogger1125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2499771266402854669.post-68611400031171583652012-10-31T13:51:23.116-04:002012-10-31T13:51:23.116-04:00How DARE Nate use math. Math doesn't count!! I...How DARE Nate use math. Math doesn't count!! It's only the narrative that matters, and one that we want to hear.<br /><br />I suspect Nate doesn't mind and likes the attention. If you listen to his attackers, Romney is <i>way ahead</i> and is going to win by a landslide because:<br /><br />a) Undecideds always break against the incumbent. Why? Because they know the incumbent well and if they haven't decided to vote for him yet, they aren't going to.<br /><br />b) Romney = Reagan and Obama - Carter. Reagan won big in the end over Carter and that's what will happen this time.<br /><br />c) The polls are skewed because they oversample Democrats. Only Rasmussen is right becuause he balances the party ID almost even.<br /><br />I won't bother debunking each of these since Nate Silver already has -- using MATH. Yet, if these guys win, they will govern the same way: story over fact; conjecture over reason. Not a pleasant prospect.<br /><br />I'm sticking with Nate until there's some new evidence.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com