Short: Will the Senate go Republican?

The one problem with a sweeping Senate victory is trying to keep all those seats six years later.

So, in 2006, the Dems had a great year, and now, in 2012, they pay the price. I've written before about why I'd like the Dems to hold onto the Senate. But it's not likely. Look at the blue states that would need to stay blue, and then tell me how optimistic you would be.

Graphic: Wikipedia.com

Interested? Current odds at Intrade, overview at Wikipedia, and an older rundown on some of the races at Reuters.

Telegram to Mr. Gingrich

Mr Gingrich COMMA According to Intrade trading data COMMA you have one half of one percent chance of being the Republican nominee STOP That means you have a slightly better chance than Sarah Palin who clocks in at four tenths of one percent chance STOP Many people are rejoicing at this news STOP

SIGNED ModeratePoli

Non-telegram style: Gingrich - 0.5% chance. Palin - 0.4% chance. Woohoo!!!!

Funny deja vu moment courtesy of Rick Perry

I was addicted to Intrade 3 years ago--tracking Obama's strength all the way to his victory on Election Day. Then I stopped being such a political junkie, started watching Lost, or something. But today, I remembered it in a flash of inspiration. Let me set the scene.

I'm reading of the latest blunder from Rick Perry. He's trying to restore his support, so he talks about how much he loves guns and hunting. This is the train of my thought:

1. Of course Perry loves guns.
2. He probably loves hunting up at N*****head camp.
3. He's not too smart getting people thinking about that again.
4. I better check Intrade and see how Romney is doing.

Romney is doing great--his stock is up above $6 a share. Check it out and see where the other candidates are.