I don't really know how this election will turn out. It looks like a squeaker, with an edge to Obama. But maybe Obama will have a comfortable margin, or maybe Romney will squeak through. Maybe the polls are worthless. I'm ready for almost anything because I don't have a sense of certainty about any of this, other than I expect a pretty large turnout.
Mostly, I will be asking questions and looking for answers:
- How are the results stacking up against the final polls of the places I've been following (RealClearPolitics and Nate Silver)? Was UnskewedPolls more realistic than I gave them credit for?
- What are the vote totals for third party candidates? Did Gary Johnson get above 1% anywhere? Did he receive mroe votes than the margin between Obama and Romney? How about Jill Stein?
- Any surprises? I generally hate surprises. Will I hate the surprises, or find them delightful?
- I'll be looking out for the partisan spin as an immediate reaction and as it develops.
Much more important than my words.
Note: I still have my heavy and inflexible work assignment, so I won't be posting until sometime on Wednesday at the earliest.
Update 20 minutes later. I'm also glad that the campaigns are getting a little gentler at the end, rather than shooting off the nuclear warheads. That's how I can tell Gingrich isn't running.